Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Kansas (27-30) | 6 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 2 | +5.0 | 24% | ✘ | |
Baylor (37-21) | 5 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.0 | 76% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
West Virginia (29-27) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | ✔ | |
Oklahoma (38-25) | 19 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 5 | -1.5 | 61% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Kansas State (23-31) | 2 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 24% | ✔ | |
TCU (33-23) | 4 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -4.5 | 76% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Oklahoma State (31-26-1) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 3 | +3.5 | 29% | ✘ | |
Texas (42-23) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 71% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Northeastern (36-21) | 3 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
Texas Tech (45-20) | 22 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -5.0 | 76% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 60%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 60%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.